By-election · London
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election 2026
Sir Keir Starmer stood down as MP on 1 September 2026, triggering a by-election in the seat he had held since 2015.
Labour hold, 2024Majority 11,572Last updated 12 September 2026
Polling day
24days to go
8 October 2026
Polls open 7am to 10pm
Candidates
Who is standing
Select a candidate for details. As of 12 September 2026; nominations are not final until the statement of persons nominated is published.
Sagal Abdi-WaliLabour
Defending a seat Labour won with 48.9% in 2024. Abdi-Wali leads Camden Council, the local authority covering the constituency.
Leader of Camden Council
Selected 9 September 2026
Zack PolanskiGreen
The Green leader is standing in a seat where the party took 10.4% in 2024, behind Labour and the independent Andrew Feinstein.
Leader of the Green Party
Selected 11 September 2026
Hussain ShafieiWorkers Party
Standing for the Workers Party of Britain.
Selected
Barmy BrunchMonster Raving Loony
Standing for the Official Monster Raving Loony Party.
Selected
Not yet namedReform
Reform UK has not named a candidate. The party took 6.1% here in 2024.
No candidate announced
Not yet namedConservative
The Conservatives are interviewing applicants, with an announcement expected in mid-September. The party took 7.2% here in 2024.
Selection under way
Not yet namedLib Dem
The Liberal Democrats are accepting applications from prospective candidates. The party took 5.8% here in 2024.
Applications open
Not yet namedRestore
Restore Britain has said it will field a candidate.
Intends to stand
Context
Why this by-election
Sir Keir Starmer (Labour) resigned on 1 September 2026. The former prime minister stood down as MP, taking the Chiltern Hundreds to vacate the seat he had held since 2015.
- 1 September 2026Keir Starmer resigns the seat
- 9 September 2026Labour selects Sagal Abdi-Wali
- 11 September 2026Greens select Zack Polanski
- 8 October 2026Polling day
Polling
Constituency polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork end | Sample | Labour | Green | Other | Reform | Conservative | Lib Dem | Restore |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No constituency polls published yet. | |||||||||
Markets
Betting odds
| Source | Recorded | Outcome | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| No odds recorded yet. | |||
Result
Result not yet declared
Polling day is 8 October 2026.
History
Previous elections
Starmer held the seat at three general elections. The 2019 and 2017 results are on the pre-2024 boundaries.
2024
Turnout 54.1%Labour18,884 - 48.9%
Other8,305 - 21.5%
Green4,030 - 10.4%
Conservative2,776 - 7.2%
Reform2,371 - 6.1%
Lib Dem2,236 - 5.8%
Majority 11,572
2019
Turnout 66.0%Labour36,641 - 64.5%
Conservative8,878 - 15.6%
Lib Dem7,314 - 12.9%
Green2,746 - 4.8%
Brexit Party1,032 - 1.8%
Other175 - 0.3%
Majority 27,763
2017
Turnout 67.0%Labour41,343 - 70.1%
Conservative10,834 - 18.4%
Lib Dem4,020 - 6.8%
Green1,980 - 3.4%
UKIP727 - 1.2%
Other93 - 0.2%
Majority 30,509
Demographics
Demographics
Source: ONS Census 2021 (England, Wales, NI) and Scotland's Census 2022, aggregated to 2024 constituency boundaries by the House of Commons Library.
Ethnic composition
2021
White 54.8%White British 33.6%Asian 21.7%Black, African or Caribbean 10.7%Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups 6.8%Other 6.0%
England & Wales (2021)
White 83.0%White British 74.4%Asian 8.6%Black, African or Caribbean 3.7%Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups 2.7%Other 2.0%
2011
White 61.5%White British 42.0%Asian 19.5%Black, African or Caribbean 9.7%Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups 5.5%Other 3.7%
England & Wales (2011)
White 86.0%White British 80.5%Asian 7.5%Black, African or Caribbean 3.3%Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups 2.2%Other 1.0%
2001
White 68.2%White British 50.1%Asian 16.2%Black, African or Caribbean 9.2%Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups 3.7%Other 2.6%
England & Wales (2001)
White 91.3%White British 87.5%Asian 4.8%Black, African or Caribbean 2.2%Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups 1.3%Other 0.4%
Year-over-year comparison uses broad ethnic groups.
2011 values are reaggregated from 2011 Output Areas onto 2024 boundaries.
2001 values are reaggregated from 2001 LSOAs onto 2024 boundaries.
Country of birth
Holborn and St Pancras (2021)
UK 55.2%Other EU 13.8%Other countries 31.0%
England & Wales (2021)
UK 84.0%Other EU 6.0%Other countries 10.1%
Holborn and St Pancras (2011)
UK 57.9%Other EU 10.4%Other countries 31.7%
England & Wales (2011)
UK 86.6%Other EU 3.6%Other countries 9.8%
Holborn and St Pancras (2001)
UK 63.5%Other EU 5.7%Other countries 30.8%
England & Wales (2001)
UK 91.1%Other EU 1.4%Other countries 7.5%